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Bayesian Experiment Reader

skill

Bayesian counterpart to experiment-result-reader. Computes posterior P(variant beats control), credible intervals, and expected loss from per-variant exposure and conversion data. Beta-Binomial for proportion metrics (CVR), Normal-Normal for continuous metrics (revenue per user). Decision rule combines a confidence threshold with an expected-loss tolerance, so the ship decision reflects both "how likely is this better?" and "how bad is it if I'm wrong?". Use this skill alongside experiment-result-reader when reading any A/B test result. Pairs with analytics-diagnostic-method. Use whenever interpreting an A/B test result the user plans to ship from, when the question is "what's the chance variant wins?", or when a frequentist p-value is on the edge and the user wants the posterior view. Triggers when Clamp MCP returns experiment exposure and conversion data, or when any analytics source surfaces per-variant counts.

Works with: Claude Code (native)  ·  Cursor, Codex CLI (manual)
native: this artifact type is that client's own format

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Install (Claude Code):

cp -r bayesian-experiment-reader ~/.claude/skills/

Security audit

Not scanned yet. We audit npm-published capabilities for known advisories, install-time scripts and permission surface; this one has no npm package we can resolve, or has not reached the queue.

source ↗  ·  skill:clamp-sh/bayesian-experiment-reader

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Measured 2026-08-05  ·  scorer s5  ·  how  ·  something wrong here?